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TENNESSEE / GOVERNOR SIMULATOR / OVERVIEW
Guided choices · fewer details
HISTORY + COUNTERFACTUAL MODEL JANUARY 2018

The state is yours to lead.

Historical events are sourced. Policy consequences are explicitly modeled, not reported as polling.

West, Middle and East Tennessee

Explore how decisions can affect communities across Tennessee’s three grand divisions, from Memphis and Jackson to Nashville, Chattanooga, Knoxville and the Tri-Cities.

Map of Tennessee showing West, Middle and East Tennessee, with Memphis, Jackson, Clarksville, Nashville, Murfreesboro, Chattanooga, Knoxville and the Tri-Cities marked.
JANUARY 2018

Scenario begins January 2018

50/100

Illustrative index, not public polling

Not entered

Only user-entered initiative/personnel estimates; not a full state budget

0 / 1

One decision required each month

What changed because of your choices?

UPDATES WHEN YOU SAVE

These are game indicators, not real polling or official state financial forecasts. Compare them after each decision to see the direction your administration is moving.

PUBLIC RECEPTION50/100

At the starting point · 0 points from 50

LEGISLATIVE OUTLOOK—

Save a policy choice to estimate passage odds.

STATE FINANCES$0M

No fiscal estimate entered · cumulative entered amounts

ECONOMIC DIRECTION0.0

Near the starting point · scenario score, not a forecast

Your policy trajectory

Each bar shows the combined economic and quality-of-life score for a recorded monthly decision.

0 decisions
Your chart starts with your first decision.Save a policy choice to see the trend build over time.
Positive combined score Negative combined scoreScenario scores are illustrative, not measured economic outcomes.
Your first decision moves the needle.

Go to Policy decisions, choose an option, and save it. Return here to see the political, legislative, and financial indicators update.

Where should the next budget dollar go?

● REQUIRED

Fast-growing counties report congestion and housing pressure, while rural counties prioritize bridge condition and reliable routes to work.

Federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act takes effect

Major federal individual and corporate tax provisions begin taking effect, shaping the national tax and business climate debate.

Read source
Effects carry forward; impact scores are relative scenario indices.

National → Tennessee

Federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act takes effect

Major federal individual and corporate tax provisions begin taking effect, shaping the national tax and business climate debate.

TAXBUSINESSBUDGET
Open source record Historical fact and source are separate from modeled impact.

Bill Haslam administration

GovernorRepublican
House74 Republicans, 25 Democrats (2018–19 Fact Book)
Senate28 Republicans, 5 Democrats (2018–19 Fact Book)
Official membership archives

Tennessee economic indicators

$362.4BChained 2017 dollars, annual
3.5%Annual average, U-3

Observed annual indicators are historical context, not proof that a governor’s decision caused a change. Recent years may be revised by the agencies.

Budget pressure, reserves and revenue context

SOURCE-LINKED

These are current reference points for FY 2026–27, not values to retroactively apply to earlier simulated years. The scenario ledger includes only player-entered estimates; it is not a full fiscal note or official forecast.

$58.3BReported total budget; verify fund definitions in source
$2.206BRecommended June 30, 2027 balance
~$1.4BBudget document estimate
Revenue signal · August 14, 2026 release

The state’s July revenue report said tax collections were $418.2 million above the budget estimate, while noting that final accrual adjustments could change the recorded result. A temporary revenue overage does not automatically make a recurring program affordable.

Read official revenue release
Your scenario’s recorded budget delta

No dollar estimate entered

Share of $58.3B reference budget: 0.000%. This is a rough scale comparison only. State whether each estimate is one-time or recurring in the initiative description.

Which executive decision contributes to each metric?

FORMULA TRACE

Each row shows direct formula contributions for recorded executive strategy decisions included through this month. These are not causal estimates; dashboards combine them with other inputs and may apply scaling or caps.

DECISION / DATEBUDGET TYPE / NET ($M)RECEPTION (PTS)PASSAGE (PTS)
No executive strategy decisions included through this month.———

Budget classification follows each decision’s saved timing. One-time estimates count once; recurring annual and multi-year/phased estimates multiply by elapsed annual periods as a simple scenario convention; savings/revenue are negative amounts. Unknown/not-estimated and no-direct-impact entries should not be interpreted as verified zero cost. Reception contribution is publicImpact × 0.3 before the overall 0–100 cap; the complete formula also includes policy decisions, personnel, ideology, and rounding. Passage contribution is legislativeImpact × 0.15 before the final 15–88 cap; this is a model score, never a vote count. County attribution is separately reconciled to each county’s displayed index.

Political reception formula trace · current month

Uncapped score = 50 baseline + policy-decision term + personnel term + executive-strategy term + ideology term. Final reception = rounded score capped at 0–100.

INPUTFORMULACONTRIBUTIONCAP / NOTE
Policy decisionsΣ(social + economic × 0.4 + national mood) × 0.320.00Before final cap
Personnel actionsΣ public impact × 0.250.00Before final cap
Executive strategyΣ publicImpact × 0.30.00Per-decision inputs listed above
Governor ideology(ideology − 50) × 0.080.40Profile setting
BaselineFixed starting value50.00Not observed opinion
Final receptionRound, then clamp to 0–10050/100No cap active

All contributions are formula arithmetic on scenario inputs. The reception index is not polling or a measured level of public support.

Governing, month by month

JAN 2018 — DEC 2027
A decision is required before advancing.

Consequences carried forward

Economic index0
Social index0
Fiscal flexibility0

Units are relative model scores, not dollar amounts or observed social/economic outcomes.

Modeled party support gained or lost

SCENARIO INDEX

These are illustrative support-index shifts inferred from each initiative’s policy trade-offs and your governor settings. They are not voter surveys, election forecasts, party registrations, or actual seat changes. National-policy events are shown as context, not assumed to affect all Tennesseans in the same way.

Observed political impact: evidence standard

Public reaction: record dated, representative polling with field dates, sample size, question wording, sponsor, and methodology; separately log public testimony, organized statements, and election results without treating any one source as statewide opinion. No measured public-opinion shift is entered here without that evidence.

General Assembly reaction: track bill numbers, sponsors, committee referrals and votes, amendments, roll-call totals, floor votes, final enactment or veto, and effective dates. These are observable legislative actions, not proof of private motives or public approval.

Documented example — 2025 Education Freedom Act funding bill (SB6005 / HB6005): official bill history records Senate passage 27–6 and House passage 81–14 on January 30, 2025; SB6005 was signed February 12 and became Public Chapter 4 on February 25, 2025. This documents legislative action, not the public-opinion effect of the law. The Governor’s description of the special-session agenda is an attributed administration statement, not independent polling.

Do not attribute a vote, polling shift, or election result to a cabinet appointment or policy change without a defensible link. Keep observed facts separate from simulated public-reception and party-support indices.

0cumulative index
0cumulative index
0cumulative index

Record the first initiative to begin tracking modeled support changes.

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CIVIC STRATEGY SIMULATIONFacts are sourced; counterfactual outcomes are labeled.Saved locally in this browser